Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 12.424802 13.882212 15.457645 17.289757 19.364990 21.646291 24.349036
2025-06-08 10.195999 12.133174 14.377291 17.178991 20.596868 24.648145 29.839490
2025-06-15 8.826938 11.108134 13.919232 17.661619 22.548411 28.760841 37.332958
2025-06-22 7.486543 9.900179 13.042970 17.476716 23.637387 31.993030 44.351180
2025-06-29 6.345025 8.771018 12.090338 17.026588 24.288467 34.748457 51.264320
2025-07-06 5.499674 7.916434 11.376868 16.780584 25.166497 37.952954 59.447209
2025-07-13 5.010958 7.497111 11.215539 17.303417 27.257760 43.313414 72.047845
2025-07-20 4.599327 7.131911 11.076561 17.828056 29.427566 49.170631 86.713810
2025-07-27 4.190171 6.712570 10.789765 18.059744 31.138286 54.551526 101.713460
2025-08-03 3.759977 6.201641 10.282089 17.832733 31.999027 58.566590 115.030114
2025-08-10 3.381010 5.728436 9.774179 17.523634 32.647358 62.285471 128.585423
2025-08-17 3.059587 5.315558 9.317603 17.237152 33.282278 66.077612 143.163601
2025-08-24 2.789112 4.969128 8.950468 17.093264 34.232453 70.811955 161.324390
2025-08-31 2.562447 4.677022 8.648578 17.035530 35.359085 76.166684 182.430697
2025-09-07 2.427130 4.541447 8.628873 17.551879 37.820509 85.028055 214.816251
2025-09-14 2.234750 4.272831 8.313466 17.395286 38.746974 90.501529 239.912683
2025-09-21 2.038042 3.973911 7.900995 16.966286 38.965175 94.297727 261.505156
2025-09-28 1.881608 3.740040 7.595952 16.734495 39.619670 99.348626 288.347500
2025-10-05 1.804883 3.663901 7.617819 17.265546 42.285942 110.347708 337.224300
2025-10-12 1.733559 3.591260 7.638149 17.796167 45.056564 122.297766 393.460018
2025-10-19 1.646293 3.474331 7.544997 18.032659 47.084285 132.594276 447.801557
2025-10-26 1.535786 3.294189 7.285984 17.809735 47.792459 139.092055 490.761363
2025-11-02 1.430254 3.115030 7.009784 17.503680 48.211511 144.807795 532.991470